Do the dreamers here feel like less is more (only online entries)? Or did you send entries by mail as well?
I am not sure about this, I have been entering each year since they Oregon Dream Home.
That year I had over 10,000 entries because you could also enter at Sears stores. Other years I have only had a few but I am still waiting to win
They usually have have 40,000,000 or more
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Thanks, but I meant do you believe you have a better chance of winning by entering yourself FEWER times- such as just online rather than online AND by mail. I guess in the end what will be will be no matter what
More entries can only increase your odds of winning, hopefuldreamer. Every single entry is assigned a number, whether it be a mail-in entry or an online entry. Hence, the more entries you have, the larger the portion is of total entries that belong to YOU. To put it simply, if there were 1,000,000 total entries and you had only 1, your chance of winning is 1 in a million; if you have 50 entries your chances are 50 in a million. Too late to worry about it now, of course, but next year enter as many times as you have the energy to, it can only increase your chances to win.
Thanks tealdreamer! That was our thought. My husband and I entered twice per day every day and sent in 200 additional entries by mail. We will probably do the same next year as well since we had so much fun sending the mail off every day
Excellent, hopeful, that makes your chances about 384 in 77,434,769! Good luck, be sure to invite all of us to the housewarming party!
Just an FYI to those who mail in entries. Unless you are interested in keeping the USPS in business, it is pretty unlikely that a mail in entry will win.
A certain number of the entries (online and mail) are placed in bins (both electronic and physical) and the number of electronic bins is so much larger the odds of the winner being picked from a mail in bin is pretty slim. Not trying to rain on anyone's parade just don't wanna see alot of $ wasted on postage along with the writer's cramp involved. Best of luck to everyone!
We read the details of how the winner was drawn before we started mailing in entries. On the off chance that the bin chosen was a mail in bin we wanted as many entries as we could in the mail in bins since online entries are limited to two per day per entrant.
Ieatdirt and Hopefuldreamersc
On the main HGTV message board site is a blog that tells how the winner is chosen
They put 50,000 mail in names in a bin and 50,000 online names in a bin.
Doing the math, 77,400,000 divided by 50,000 equals 1548 total bins. So hopefuldreamers mail in entry has a chance of "one in 1548" possibility of being in the bin selected. Also, each online entry has this same odds of being in the bin selected. So the more entries you do, either online or by mail give you more (equal) chances of being in the selected bin. Sure, there are a lot more online entries than mail in, thus more bins with online names in it, but your odds per bin is the same, 1 in 1548. But as noted, you have to pay postage for the mail in entry.
So then if you are one of the 50,000 names in that bin, you now have a "one in 50,000" chance of being the real winner. Statistically that is a very small odds of being the winner since you have to be in two drawings.
Also if you are doing the online two per day entry, you might want to do them 1-2 hours apart, so you have more possibilities of being in more bins since each bin only holds 50,000 entries and if you do them at the same time you may have both entries in the same bin.
Good luck to all online and mail in dreamers
I think you are wrong ieatdirt. Every entry has a 1 in 77,434,769 chance of winning whether it was mailed in or entered electronically. The money spent on postage increases their chance over someone that enters only electronically since they have more than the two entries a day that are allowed electronically. If you have different information I would be happy to hear it, but as far as I know, an entry is an entry no matter what form it takes.
I guess you didn't watch the video posted above. I didn't say mail in entries don't have a chance to win or even an equal chance perhaps. Nor did I say the additional entries don't increase that person's chances. I was simply trying to clarify how the drawing takes place. I think some people assume that their mail in entry is somehow entered into the computer and is on an equal footing with an online entry.
But when the balls are drawn with a number assigned to each bin and the number of virtual bins greatly exceed the number of physical bins it reduces the likelihood of the winner coming from a physical bin. Like the person said above you basically have to win two drawings, your bin then your entry. Perhaps my use of the word "odds" was in error.
Since online entries are free, I just question whether it is worth the time or money to mail in entries. It's probably a pretty safe bet that the winner won't come from a mail in entry but we shall see.
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